Bear with me here. My good pal Nathaniel has posted his
April Fool's Oscar Predictions, his more-accurate-than-most annual stab at what the eventual Oscar nominees will be nine months from now. Naturally, competitive bitch that I am, I want to post my own early, early,
early Oscar predictions, both for comparison's and posterity's sake. Then I promise you won't hear from me on this issue until the fall. August at the soonest. Okay, maybe in May after Cannes. It's a sickness people. Thank God I don't put money on this shit.
First off, here are a handful of movies that I'm thinking will come into play during the '07 awards season:
Atonement -- Kiera Knightley, James McAvoy, and Romola Garai in an adaptation of the novel of the same name, directed by
Pride & Prejudice's Joe Wright.
The Brave One -- Jodie Foster teams up with director Neil Jordan in a contemporary revenge drama.
Charlie Wilson's War -- Mike Nichols directs Tom Hanks, Julia Roberts, and Phillip Seymour Hoffman, in a story about how the CIA armed the Mujahedeen in Afghanistan in the 1980s. So it's a success story.
The Golden Age -- This would be the sequel to
Elizabeth, with Cate Blanchett and Shekhar Kapur returning, and Clive Owen, Samantha Morton, and Abbie Cornish hopping onboard.
I'm Not There -- Todd Haynes's unconventional Bob Dylan biopic. Which I believe is the film's new subtitle. Christian Bale, Heath Ledger, Richard Gere, and Blanchett (among others) all play Dylan at various times.
The Kite Runner -- Guilt and betrayal set against the backdrop of recent Afghanistan history. Based on the best-selling 2003 novel.
Love in the Time of Cholera -- More literary adaptations, this time the renowned Gabriel Garcia Marquez novel. Javier Bardem, Benjamin Bratt, Liev Schrieber, and Catalina Sandino Moreno star.
Michael Clayton -- It's not about IRA terrorists, but it should be. No, this one's a legal drama starring George Clooney.
A Mighty Heart -- The story of American journalist Daniel Pearl, murdered by Al Qaeda terrorist, and his widow Marianne. Starring Angelina Jolie and Dan Futterman, directed by Michael Winterbottom.
Reservation Road -- The director of
Hotel Rwanda tells a story of tragedy and the aftermath. Starring Joaquin Phoenix, Mark Ruffalo, Jennifer Connelly, and Mira Sorvino.
The Savages -- Tamara Jenkins directs Laura Linney and Phillip Seymour Hoffman in a family dramady. Partially filmed in Buffalo, this killed at Sundance.
Sweeney Todd -- Big musical adaptation of the year, directed by Tim Burton, starring Johnny Depp and Helena Bonham-Carter.
There Will Be Blood -- PT Anderson's first film in five years, adapted from Upton Sinclair's
Oil! Speaking of a first film in five years, Daniel Day-Lewis stars as an oil prospector.
Okay, so, the Oscar predictions. We'll see if I get more than a handful of these right next year. For point of reference, when I did this least year, I nailed Forest Whitaker, Judi Dench, Kate Winslet, and Meryl Streep. And that was it.
BEST PICTURE- Charlie Wilson's War (Universal)
- Atonement (Focus)
- Michael Clayton (Warner Bros.)
- Love in the Time of Cholera (New Line)
- The Kite Runner (Paramount Vantage)
Also: Reservation Road (Focus); Sweeney Todd (Paramount); Rendition (New Line); There Will Be Blood (Paramount Vantage); Lions For Lambs (United Artists); The Golden Age (Universal); The Assassination of Jesse James (Warner Bros.); My Blueberry Nights (The Weinstein Co.); Lust, Caution (Focus); The Brave One (Warner Bros.).
BEST ACTOR
- Joaquin Phoenix -- Reservation Road
- Daniel Day-Lewis -- There Will Be Blood
- John Cusack -- Grace Is Gone
- Javier Bardem -- Love in the Time of Cholera
- James McAvoy -- Atonement
Also: 6. Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd); 7. Benicio Del Toro (Things We Lost in the Fire); 8. Tom Hanks (Charlie Wilson's War); 9. Khalid Abdalla (The Kite Runner); 10. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Savages); 11. George Clooney (Michael Clayton); 12. Brad Pitt (The Assassination of Jesse James); 13. Tommy Lee Jones (In the Valley of Elah); 14. Tony Leung (Lust, Caution); 15. Tom Cruise (Lions For Lambs).
BEST ACTRESS
- Julie Christie -- Away From Her
- Jodie Foster -- The Brave One
- Kiera Knightley -- Atonement
- Marion Cotillard -- La Vie En Rose
- Angelina Jolie -- A Mighty Heart
Also: 6. Cate Blanchett (The Golden Age); 7. Laura Linney (The Savages); 8. Jennifer Connelly (Reservation Road); 9. Halle Berry (Things We Lost In The Fire); 10. Vanessa Redgrave (Evening); 11. Reese Witherspoon (Rendition); 12. Giovanna Mezzogiorno (Love in the Time of Cholera); 13. Natalie Portman (The Other Boleyn Girl); 14. Sigourney Weaver (The Girl in the Park); 15. Catherine Keener (An American Crime).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Clive Owen -- The Golden Age
- Mark Ruffalo -- Reservation Road
- Philip Bosco -- The Savages
- Dan Futterman -- A Mighty Heart
- Tom Wilkinson -- Michael Clayton
Also: 6. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Charlie Wilson's War); 7. Paul Dano (There Will Be Blood); 8. Robert Redford (Lions For Lambs); 9. Javier Bardem (No Country For Old Men); 10. Benjamin Bratt (Love in the Time of Cholera); 11. James McAvoy (Becoming Jane); 12. Casey Affleck (The Assassination of Jesse James); 13. Eric Bana (The Other Boleyn Girl); 14. Patrick Wilson (Evening); 15. Terrence Howard (The Brave One).
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Romola Garai -- Atonement
- Samantha Morton -- The Golden Age
- Jennifer Jason Leigh -- Margot At The Wedding
- Cate Blanchett -- I'm Not There
- Vanessa Redgrave -- Atonement
Also: 6. Helena Bonham-Carter (Sweeney Todd); 7. Jane Fonda (Georgia Rule); 8. Susan Sarandon (In the Valley of Elah); 9. Scarlett Johansson (The Other Boleyn Girl); 10. Kristin Scott Thomas (The Other Boleyn Girl); 11. Mary-Louise Parker (The Assassination of Jesse James); 12. Abbie Cornish (The Golden Age); 13. Mira Sorvino (Reservation Road); 14. Alison Lohman (Things We Lost in the Fire); 15. Laura Linney (The Nanny Diaries).